Hydroxyurea is the standard treatment in high-risk patients with polycythemia vera. However, estimates of its effect in terms of clinical outcomes (thrombosis, bleeding, hematologic transformations and mortality) are lacking. We performed a meta-analysis to determine the absolute risk of events in recent cases of patients under hydroxyurea treatment. We searched for relevant articles or abstracts in the following databases: Medline, EMBASE, clinicaltrials.gov, WHO International Clinical Trials Registry, LILACS. Sixteen studies published from 2008 to 2018 reporting number of events using World Health Organization diagnosis for polycythemia vera were selected. Through a random effect logistic model, incidences, study heterogeneity and confounder effects were estimated for each outcome at different follow ups. Overall, 3,236 patients were analyzed. While incidences of thrombosis and acute myeloid leukemia were stable over time, mortality and myelofibrosis varied depending on follow-up duration. Thrombosis rates were 1.9%, 3.6% and 6.8% persons/year at median ages 60, 70 and 80 years, respectively. Higher incidence of arterial events was predicted by previous cardiovascular complication. Leukemic transformation incidence was 0.4% persons/year. Incidence of transformation to myelofibrosis and mortality were significantly dependent on age and follow-up duration. For myelofibrosis, rates were 5.0 at five years and 33.7% at ten years; overall mortality was 12.6% and 56.2% at five and ten years, respectively. In conclusion, we provide reliable risk estimates for the main outcomes in polycythemia vera patients under hydroxyurea treatment. These findings can help design comparative clinical trials with new cytoreductive drugs and prove the feasibility of using critical end points for efficacy, such as major thrombosis.

The goal of therapy for patients with essential thrombocythemia (ET) and polycythemia vera (PV) is to reduce thrombotic events by normalizing blood counts. Hydroxyurea (HU) and interferon-α (IFN-α) are the most frequently used cytoreductive options for patients with ET and PV at high risk for vascular complications. Myeloproliferative Disorders Research Consortium 112 was an investigator-initiated, phase 3 trial comparing HU to pegylated IFN-α (PEG) in treatment-naïve, high-risk patients with ET/PV. The primary endpoint was complete response (CR) rate at 12 months. A total of 168 patients were treated for a median of 81.0 weeks. CR for HU was 37% and 35% for PEG (P = .80) at 12 months. At 24 to 36 months, CR was 20% to 17% for HU and 29% to 33% for PEG. PEG led to a greater reduction in JAK2V617F at 24 months, but histopathologic responses were more frequent with HU. Thrombotic events and disease progression were infrequent in both arms, whereas grade 3/4 adverse events were more frequent with PEG (46% vs 28%). At 12 months of treatment, there was no significant difference in CR rates between HU and PEG. This study indicates that PEG and HU are both effective treatments for PV and ET. With longer treatment, PEG was more effective in normalizing blood counts and reducing driver mutation burden, whereas HU produced more histopathologic responses. Despite these differences, both agents did not differ in limiting thrombotic events and disease progression in high-risk patients with ET/PV. This trial was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as #NCT01259856.

We collected 1500 patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) and arterial or venous thrombosis (935/565), pooling three independent cohorts previously reported. Long-term treatment with antiplatelet drugs or vitamin K-antagonists (VKA) was given to 1391 (92.7%) patients; 975 (65%) patients received hydroxyurea (HU). We recorded 348 recurrences (venous in 142 cases) over 6075 patient-years, with an incidence rate of 5.7 per 100 pt-years (95% CI 5.1-6.4). The site of the first thrombosis predicted the site of recurrence. Independent factors influencing the rate of novel arterial thrombosis were HU (HR 0.67, 95% CI 0.46-0.98), antiplatelet treatment (HR 0.54, 95% CI 0.35-0.82), and VKA (HR 0.58, 95% CI 0.35-0.96). On the contrary, the recurrence of venous thromboses was significantly diminished only by VKA (HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.37-0.95), while HU prevented late but not early recurrences after venous thrombosis at common sites. Of note, we failed to demonstrate a positive effect of HU in the prevention of recurrent splanchnic vein thrombosis. In conclusion, in MPN patients, HU plays a role in the prevention of arterial thrombosis, together with aspirin and VKA, whereas its action in the prevention of recurrent venous thrombosis is uncertain. Such findings call for future studies to optimize and personalize secondary prophylaxis after MPN-related thrombosis.

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