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Inferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences.

Jakob Runge | Sebastian Bathiany | Erik Bollt | Gustau Camps-Valls | Dim Coumou | Ethan Deyle | Clark Glymour | Marlene Kretschmer | Miguel D Mahecha | Jordi Muñoz-Marí | Egbert H van Nes | Jonas Peters | Rick Quax | Markus Reichstein | Marten Scheffer | Bernhard Schölkopf | Peter Spirtes | George Sugihara | Jie Sun | Kun Zhang | Jakob Zscheischler
Nature communications | 2019

The heart of the scientific enterprise is a rational effort to understand the causes behind the phenomena we observe. In large-scale complex dynamical systems such as the Earth system, real experiments are rarely feasible. However, a rapidly increasing amount of observational and simulated data opens up the use of novel data-driven causal methods beyond the commonly adopted correlation techniques. Here, we give an overview of causal inference frameworks and identify promising generic application cases common in Earth system sciences and beyond. We discuss challenges and initiate the benchmark platform causeme.net to close the gap between method users and developers.

Pubmed ID: 31201306

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Associated grants

  • Agency: Simons Foundation, International
    Id: 318812
  • Agency: National Science Foundation (NSF), International
    Id: DBI-1667584
  • Agency: Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (Swiss National Science Foundation), International
    Id: PZ00P2-179876
  • Agency: U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | Center for Information Technology (Center for Information Technology, National Institutes of Health), International
    Id: FAIN-U54HG008540
  • Agency: United States Department of Defense | United States Army | U.S. Army Research, Development and Engineering Command | Army Research Office (ARO), International
    Id: W911NF-16-1-0081
  • Agency: National Science Foundation (NSF), International
    Id: NSFDEB-1655203
  • Agency: Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (Federal Ministry of Education and Research), International
    Id: 01LN1304A
  • Agency: NIBIB NIH HHS, United States
    Id: R01 EB022858
  • Agency: Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek (Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research), International
    Id: 016.Vidi.171011
  • Agency: U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | Center for Information Technology (Center for Information Technology, National Institutes of Health), International
    Id: NIH5U54HG008540-02
  • Agency: U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | Center for Information Technology (Center for Information Technology, National Institutes of Health), International
    Id: NIH-1R01LM012087
  • Agency: EC | EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020 | H2020 Priority Excellent Science | H2020 European Research Council (H2020 Excellent Science - European Research Council), International
    Id: 647423
  • Agency: United States Department of Defense | U.S. Air Force (United States Air Force), International
    Id: FA8650-17-C-7715
  • Agency: EC | EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020 | H2020 Priority Excellent Science | H2020 European Research Council (H2020 Excellent Science - European Research Council), International
    Id: 640176
  • Agency: National Science Foundation (NSF), International
    Id: IIS-1829681
  • Agency: NHGRI NIH HHS, United States
    Id: U54 HG008540
  • Agency: Villum Fonden (Villum Foundation), International
    Id: 18968
  • Agency: United States Department of Defense | United States Navy | Office of Naval Research (ONR), International
    Id: N00014-15-1-2093
  • Agency: NLM NIH HHS, United States
    Id: R01 LM012087
  • Agency: U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | Center for Information Technology (Center for Information Technology, National Institutes of Health), International
    Id: FAINR01EB022858

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ARCTIC (tool)

RRID:SCR_005989

An end-to-end application allowing individual regional analysis of cortical thickness. This cross-platform tool can be run within Slicer3 as an external module, or directly as a command line. * Operating System: MacOS, Linux * Programming Language: C++ * Supported Data Format: ANALYZE, Nrrd, Other Format * build requires: Insight Toolkit

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