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Mapping global environmental suitability for Zika virus.

Jane P Messina | Moritz Ug Kraemer | Oliver J Brady | David M Pigott | Freya M Shearer | Daniel J Weiss | Nick Golding | Corrine W Ruktanonchai | Peter W Gething | Emily Cohn | John S Brownstein | Kamran Khan | Andrew J Tatem | Thomas Jaenisch | Christopher Jl Murray | Fatima Marinho | Thomas W Scott | Simon I Hay
eLife | 2016

Zika virus was discovered in Uganda in 1947 and is transmitted by Aedes mosquitoes, which also act as vectors for dengue and chikungunya viruses throughout much of the tropical world. In 2007, an outbreak in the Federated States of Micronesia sparked public health concern. In 2013, the virus began to spread across other parts of Oceania and in 2015, a large outbreak in Latin America began in Brazil. Possible associations with microcephaly and Guillain-Barré syndrome observed in this outbreak have raised concerns about continued global spread of Zika virus, prompting its declaration as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by the World Health Organization. We conducted species distribution modelling to map environmental suitability for Zika. We show a large portion of tropical and sub-tropical regions globally have suitable environmental conditions with over 2.17 billion people inhabiting these areas.

Pubmed ID: 27090089

Research resources used in this publication

None found

Antibodies used in this publication

None found

Associated grants

  • Agency: Wellcome Trust, United Kingdom
  • Agency: Wellcome Trust, United Kingdom
    Id: 095066
  • Agency: NIAID NIH HHS, United States
    Id: P01 AI098670
  • Agency: NLM NIH HHS, United States
    Id: R01 LM010812

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FigShare (tool)

RRID:SCR_004328

Repository for all data, figures, theses, publications, posters, presentations, filesets, videos, datasets, negative data in a citable, shareable and discoverable manner with Digital Object Identifiers. Allows to upload any file format to be made visualisable in the browser so that figures, datasets, media, papers, posters, presentations and filesets can be disseminated in a way that the current scholarly publishing model does not allow. Features integration with ORCID, Symplectic Elements, can import items from Github and is a source tracked by Altmetric.com. Figshare gives users unlimited public space and 1GB of private storage space for free. Data are digitally preserved by CLOCKSS. Supported by Digital Science, a division of Macmillan Publishers Limited, as a community-based, open science project that retains its autonomy.

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PubMed (tool)

RRID:SCR_004846

Public bibliographic database that provides access to citations for biomedical literature from MEDLINE, life science journals, and online books. Citations may include links to full-text content from PubMed Central and publisher web sites. PubMed citations and abstracts include fields of biomedicine and health, covering portions of life sciences, behavioral sciences, chemical sciences, and bioengineering. Provides access to additional relevant web sites and links to other NCBI molecular biology resources. Publishers of journals can submit their citations to NCBI and then provide access to full-text of articles at journal web sites using LinkOut.

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ProMed-Mail (tool)

RRID:SCR_010260

Program for Monitoring Emerging Diseases - is an Internet-based reporting system dedicated to rapid global dissemination of information on outbreaks of infectious diseases and acute exposures to toxins that affect human health, including those in animals and in plants grown for food or animal feed. Electronic communications enable ProMED-mail to provide up-to-date and reliable news about threats to human, animal, and food plant health around the world, seven days a week. By providing early warning of outbreaks of emerging and re-emerging diseases, public health precautions at all levels can be taken in a timely manner to prevent epidemic transmission and to save lives. ProMED-mail is open to all sources and free of political constraints. Sources of information include media reports, official reports, online summaries, local observers, and others. Reports are often contributed by ProMED-mail subscribers. A team of expert human, plant, and animal disease moderators screen, review, and investigate reports before posting to the network. Reports are distributed by email to direct subscribers and posted immediately on the ProMED-mail web site. ProMED-mail currently reaches over 60,000 subscribers in at least 185 countries. ProMED collaborates closely with HealthMap at Children''s Hospital Boston. We also gratefully acknowledge HealthMap for providing Website and hosting services to ProMED.

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WorldClim (tool)

RRID:SCR_010244

A set of global climate layers (climate grids) with a spatial resolution of about 1 square kilometer. The data can be used for mapping and spatial modeling in a GIS or with other computer programs. If you are not familiar with such programs, you can try DIVA-GIS or the R raster package.

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