Influenza viruses cause seasonal outbreaks and pose a continuous pandemic threat. Although vaccines are available for influenza control, their efficacy varies each season and a vaccine for a novel pandemic virus manufactured using current technology will not be available fast enough to mitigate the effect of the first pandemic wave. Antivirals can be effective against many different influenza viruses but have not thus far been used extensively for outbreak control. Baloxavir, a recently licensed antiviral drug that targets the influenza virus endonuclease, has been shown to reduce virus shedding more effectively than oseltamivir, a widely used neuraminidase inhibitor drug. Thus it is possible that treatment with baloxavir might also interrupt onward virus transmission. To test this, we utilized the ferret model, which is the most commonly used animal model to study influenza virus transmission. We established a subcutaneous baloxavir administration method in ferrets which achieved similar pharmacokinetics to the approved human oral dose. Transmission studies were then conducted in two different locations with different experimental setups to compare the onward transmission of A(H1N1)pdm09 virus from infected ferrets treated with baloxavir, oseltamivir or placebo to naïve sentinel ferrets exposed either indirectly in adjacent cages or directly by co-housing. We found that baloxavir treatment reduced infectious viral shedding in the upper respiratory tract of ferrets compared to placebo, and reduced the frequency of transmission amongst sentinels in both experimental setups, even when treatment was delayed until 2 days post-infection. In contrast, oseltamivir treatment did not substantially affect viral shedding or transmission compared to placebo. We did not detect the emergence of baloxavir-resistant variants in treated animals or in untreated sentinels. Our results support the concept that antivirals which decrease viral shedding could also reduce influenza transmission in the community.

Immunocompromised patients infected with influenza exhibit prolonged viral shedding and higher risk of resistance. Optimized treatment strategies are needed to reduce the risk of antiviral resistance. This phase IIIb, randomized, double-blind study (NCT00545532) evaluated conventional-dose or double-dose oseltamivir for the treatment of influenza in immunocompromised patients.

Bemnifosbuvir is an oral antiviral drug with a dual mechanism of action targeting viral RNA polymerase, with in vitro activity against SARS-CoV-2. We conducted a phase 2, double-blind study evaluating the antiviral activity, safety, efficacy, and pharmacokinetics of bemnifosbuvir in ambulatory patients with mild/moderate COVID-19. Patients were randomized 1:1 to bemnifosbuvir 550 mg or placebo (cohort A) and 3:1 to bemnifosbuvir 1,100 mg or placebo (cohort B); all doses were given twice daily for 5 days. The primary endpoint was a change from baseline in the amount of nasopharyngeal SARS-CoV-2 viral RNA by reverse transcription PCR (RT-PCR). The modified intent-to-treat infected population comprised 100 patients (bemnifosbuvir 550 mg, n = 30; bemnifosbuvir 1,100 mg, n = 30; cohort A placebo, n = 30; cohort B placebo, n = 10). The primary endpoint was not met: the difference in viral RNA adjusted means at day 7 was -0.25 log10 copies/mL between bemnifosbuvir 550 mg and cohort A placebo (80% confidence interval [CI], -0.66 to 0.16; P = 0.4260), and -0.08 log10 copies/mL between bemnifosbuvir 1,100 mg and pooled placebo (80% CI, -0.48 to 0.33; P = 0.8083). Bemnifosbuvir 550 mg was well tolerated. Incidence of nausea and vomiting was higher with bemnifosbuvir 1,100 mg (10.0% and 16.7% of patients, respectively) than pooled placebo (2.5% nausea, 2.5% vomiting). In the primary analysis, bemnifosbuvir did not show meaningful antiviral activity on nasopharyngeal viral load as measured by RT-PCR compared with placebo in patients with mild/moderate COVID-19. The trial is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov under registration number NCT04709835. IMPORTANCE COVID-19 continues to be a major global public health challenge, and there remains a need for effective and convenient direct-acting antivirals that can be administered outside health care settings. Bemnifosbuvir is an oral antiviral with a dual mechanism of action and potent in vitro activity against SARS-CoV-2. In this study, we evaluated the antiviral activity, safety, efficacy, and pharmacokinetics of bemnifosbuvir in ambulatory patients with mild/moderate COVID-19. In the primary analysis, bemnifosbuvir did not show meaningful antiviral activity compared with placebo as assessed by nasopharyngeal viral loads. The negative predictive value of nasopharyngeal viral load reduction for clinical outcomes in COVID-19 is currently unclear, and further evaluation of bemnifosbuvir for COVID-19 may be warranted despite the findings observed in this study.

Baloxavir marboxil (baloxavir) is a novel, cap-dependent endonuclease inhibitor that has previously demonstrated efficacy in the treatment of influenza in adults and adolescents. We assessed the safety and efficacy of baloxavir in otherwise healthy children with acute influenza.

A mechanistic population-pharmacokinetic model was developed to predict oseltamivir exposures in neonates and infants accounting for physiological changes during the first 2 years of life. The model included data from 13 studies, comprising 436 subjects with normal renal function (317 pediatric subjects (≥ 38 weeks postmenstrual age (PMA), ≥ 13 days old) and 119 adult subjects < 40 years). Concentration-time profiles of oseltamivir and its active metabolite, oseltamivir carboxylate (OC), were characterized by a four-compartment model, with absorption described by three additional compartments. Renal maturational changes were implemented by description of OC clearance with allometric function of weight and Hill function of PMA. Clearance of OC increased with weight up to 43 kg (allometric coefficient 0.75). Half the adult OC clearance was reached at a PMA of 45.6 weeks (95% confidence interval (CI) 41.6-49.6) with a Hill coefficient of 2.35 (95% CI 1.67-3.04). The model supports the European Union/United States-approved 3 mg/kg twice-daily oseltamivir dose for infants < 1 year (PMA ≥ 38 weeks) and allows prediction of exposures in preterm neonates.

Baloxavir is approved in several countries for the treatment of uncomplicated influenza in otherwise-healthy and high-risk patients. Treatment-emergent viruses with reduced susceptibility to baloxavir have been detected in clinical trials, but the likelihood of widespread occurrence depends on replication capacity and onward transmission. We evaluated the fitness of A/H3N2 and A/H1N1pdm09 viruses with the polymerase acidic (PA) I38T-variant conferring reduced susceptibility to baloxavir relative to wild-type (WT) viruses, using a competitive mixture ferret model, recombinant viruses and patient-derived virus isolates. The A/H3N2 PA/I38T virus showed a reduction in within-host fitness but comparable between-host fitness to the WT virus, while the A/H1N1pdm09 PA/I38T virus had broadly similar within-host fitness but substantially lower between-host fitness. Although PA/I38T viruses replicate and transmit between ferrets, our data suggest that viruses with this amino acid substitution have lower fitness relative to WT and this relative fitness cost was greater in A/H1N1pdm09 viruses than in A/H3N2 viruses.

We studied the effect of age, baseline viral load, vaccination status, antiviral therapy, and emergence of drug resistance on viral shedding in children infected with influenza A or B virus.