Malaria infections occurring below the limit of detection of standard diagnostics are common in all endemic settings. However, key questions remain surrounding their contribution to sustaining transmission and whether they need to be detected and targeted to achieve malaria elimination. In this study we analyse a range of malaria datasets to quantify the density, detectability, course of infection and infectiousness of subpatent infections. Asymptomatically infected individuals have lower parasite densities on average in low transmission settings compared to individuals in higher transmission settings. In cohort studies, subpatent infections are found to be predictive of future periods of patent infection and in membrane feeding studies, individuals infected with subpatent asexual parasite densities are found to be approximately a third as infectious to mosquitoes as individuals with patent (asexual parasite) infection. These results indicate that subpatent infections contribute to the infectious reservoir, may be long lasting, and require more sensitive diagnostics to detect them in lower transmission settings.

Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) is among the most frequent causes of death due to antimicrobial resistance. Although only 3% of global TB cases are MDR, geographical hotspots with up to 40% of MDR-TB have been observed in countries of the former Soviet Union. While the quality of TB control and patient-related factors are known contributors to such hotspots, the role of the pathogen remains unclear. Here we show that in the country of Georgia, a known hotspot of MDR-TB, MDR Mycobacterium tuberculosis strains of lineage 4 (L4) transmit less than their drug-susceptible counterparts, whereas most MDR strains of L2 suffer no such defect. Our findings further indicate that the high transmission fitness of these L2 strains results from epistatic interactions between the rifampicin resistance-conferring mutation RpoB S450L, compensatory mutations in the RNA polymerase, and other pre-existing genetic features of L2/Beijing clones that circulate in Georgia. We conclude that the transmission fitness of MDR M. tuberculosis strains is heterogeneous, but can be as high as drug-susceptible forms, and that such highly drug-resistant and transmissible strains contribute to the emergence and maintenance of hotspots of MDR-TB. As these strains successfully overcome the metabolic burden of drug resistance, and given the ongoing rollout of new treatment regimens against MDR-TB, proper surveillance should be implemented to prevent these strains from acquiring resistance to the additional drugs.